Determining of threat perceptions affecting direction of the US defense expenditures by using ordinal regression models

dc.contributor.authorMetin, Nurcan
dc.date.accessioned2024-06-12T11:16:11Z
dc.date.available2024-06-12T11:16:11Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.departmentTrakya Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThe article examines whether the US threat perceptions defined in terms of federal government national defense outlays in billions of constant (FY 2000) dollars change along with periodical changes in international politics between 1945 and 2007. Three different models affecting direction of the US defense expenditures are developed. The first model are estimated by using five link functions even though results of only two of them, complementary log-log and cauchit, are presented. As complementary log-log produced the best results, others models are predicted by using only this function. The parameter estimates of complementary log-log function for the first model indicate that four of these variables (Ford, Carter, Reagan and Bush Sr.) out of eleven are significant in the category of presidents. Truman Docrtrine/Cominform, Korean War, Vietnam War, and Invasion of Iraq also seem to be the important independent variables on empirical grounds for the first model. While Party, Invasion of Iraq, Vietnam War, Korean War, and Cuban Missile Crisis constitute the important independent variables on empirical grounds for the second model, Korean War, Vietnam War, Invasion of Iraq, Truman Docrtrine/Cominform, The Cold War and New World Order, and Cuban Missile Crisis are important independent variables on empirical grounds for the third model. Estimations based on these three models therefore suggest that aforementioned independent variables do indeed have effect on the US defense expenditures.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipTUBITAK [1059B19]en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work has been supported by TUBITAK Grant 1059B19.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11135-011-9442-0
dc.identifier.endpage1309en_US
dc.identifier.issn0033-5177
dc.identifier.issue4en_US
dc.identifier.startpage1297en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-011-9442-0
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14551/24219
dc.identifier.volume46en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000302479700022en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.relation.ispartofQuality & Quantityen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectThe Cold Waren_US
dc.subjectThe New World Orderen_US
dc.subjectThe Defense Expendituresen_US
dc.subjectThe Ordinal Regressionen_US
dc.titleDetermining of threat perceptions affecting direction of the US defense expenditures by using ordinal regression modelsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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