Determining of threat perceptions affecting direction of the US defense expenditures by using ordinal regression models
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2012
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Springer
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
The article examines whether the US threat perceptions defined in terms of federal government national defense outlays in billions of constant (FY 2000) dollars change along with periodical changes in international politics between 1945 and 2007. Three different models affecting direction of the US defense expenditures are developed. The first model are estimated by using five link functions even though results of only two of them, complementary log-log and cauchit, are presented. As complementary log-log produced the best results, others models are predicted by using only this function. The parameter estimates of complementary log-log function for the first model indicate that four of these variables (Ford, Carter, Reagan and Bush Sr.) out of eleven are significant in the category of presidents. Truman Docrtrine/Cominform, Korean War, Vietnam War, and Invasion of Iraq also seem to be the important independent variables on empirical grounds for the first model. While Party, Invasion of Iraq, Vietnam War, Korean War, and Cuban Missile Crisis constitute the important independent variables on empirical grounds for the second model, Korean War, Vietnam War, Invasion of Iraq, Truman Docrtrine/Cominform, The Cold War and New World Order, and Cuban Missile Crisis are important independent variables on empirical grounds for the third model. Estimations based on these three models therefore suggest that aforementioned independent variables do indeed have effect on the US defense expenditures.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
The Cold War, The New World Order, The Defense Expenditures, The Ordinal Regression
Kaynak
Quality & Quantity
WoS Q Değeri
Q2
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
46
Sayı
4
