Qualitative determinants and credit-default risk: Evidence from Turkey

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2013

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

National Academy of Management

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

This paper investigates the qualitative and quantitative determinants of firm defaults for Turkish manufacturing companies over the time period 2001-2005 by using yearly observation intervals. The paper uses a multivariate logistic regression on the sample of 1772 firms to construct a predictive model. According to the results of this study, the most significant predictors of default are short-term financial leverage, profitability, nonperforming loan volume, and the levels of collateral and guarantees. The qualitative variables significantly increase the power of the model to predict firm default.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Credit-Default Risk; Default Probability Estimation; Emerging Markets; Qualitative Risk Predictors; Risk Management

Kaynak

Actual Problems of Economics

WoS Q Değeri

Scopus Q Değeri

N/A

Cilt

145

Sayı

7

Künye